Sobre el crecimiento exponencial de contagios durante la primera ola epidemiológica de Covid-19 en China y Japón
On the exponential growth of infections during the first epidemiological wave of Covid-19 in China and Japan
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La crisis de salud pública generada por la pandemia de COVD-19 se extendió y afectó a todo el mundo, independientemente de la situación económica de las naciones. China y Japón fueron de los primeros países en ser afectados por la pandemia; sin embargo, estos se caracterizaron por manejar exitosamente la primera ola epidemiológica de los casos reportados diariamente por COVD-19. A pesar de esto, con la aplicación del modelo de Malthus y mediante métodos determinísticos y estadísticos se identifican 2 y 4 periodos de crecimiento exponencial, respectivamente. En este sentido, este articulo compara las olas epidemiológicas de los dos países asiáticos, y determina los posibles factores generadores de dichos periodos. La repentina aparición del virus SARS-CoV-2 junto con la toma de decisiones tardías fueron los principales factores asociados a los periodos encontrados.
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